Research
My research focuses on understanding the dynamics of natural populations. I combine field research with statistical modeling and computer simulations to understand the causes and consequences of population change.
Peer-Reviewed Publications [PDFs available upon request - contact me at [email protected]]
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2013
- Nisbet, I. C., Iles, D.T., Kaneb, A., Mostello, C. S., & Jenouvrier, S. (2020). Breeding performance of Common Terns (Sterna hirundo) does not decline among older age classes. The Auk. In Press.
- Iles, D. T., Lynch, H., Ji, R., Barbraud, C., Delord, K., & Jenouvrier, S. (2020). Sea ice predicts long‐term trends in Adélie penguin population growth, but not annual fluctuations: Results from a range‐wide multiscale analysis. Global Change Biology. Early View.
- Barnas, A. F., Iles, D. T., Stechmann, T. J., Wampole, E. M., Koons, D. N., Rockwell, R. F., & Ellis-Felege, S. N. (2020). A phenological comparison of grizzly (Ursus arctos) and polar bears (Ursus maritimus) as waterfowl nest predators in Wapusk National Park. Polar Biology 43, 457-465.
- Jenouvrier, S., Holland, M., Iles, D.T., Labrousse, S., Landrum, L., Garnier, J., ... & Barbraud, C. (2020). The Paris Agreement objectives will likely halt future declines of emperor penguins. Global Change Biology, 26(3), 1170-1184.
2019
- Iles, D. T., Pugesek, G., Kerr, N. Z., Dorian, N. N., & Crone, E. E. (2019). Accounting for imperfect detection in species with sessile life cycle stages: a case study of bumble bee nests. Journal of Insect Conservation, 23(5-6), 945-955.
- Iles, D.T. and Jenouvrier, S. 2019. Projected population consequences of climate change. Chapter 14 in Effects of climate change on birds, 2nd Edition. (Eds. Dunn, P.O. and Møller, A. P.). Oxford University Press.
- Kluever, B., Iles, D.T., and Gese, E. 2019. Ectoparasite burden influences the denning behavior of a small desert carnivore. Ecosphere 10 (5).
- Larue, M., Iles, D.T., Labrousse, S., Salas, L., Ballard, G., Ainley, D., & Saenz, B. (2019). A possible Adélie penguin sub-colony on fast ice by Cape Crozier, Antarctica. Antarctic Science, 31(4), 189-194.
- Iles, D.T., Rockwell, R.F., and Koons, D.N. 2019. Shifting vital rate correlations alter predicted population responses to increasingly variable environments. The American Naturalist 193. E-Note.
2018
- Iles, D.T., Williams, N.M., and Crone, E.E. 2018. Source-sink dynamics of bumble bees in rapidly changing landscapes. Journal of Applied Ecology 55: 2802-2811
- Iles, D.T., R.F. Rockwell, and D.N. Koons. 2018. Reproductive success of a keystone herbivore is more variable and responsive to climate in habitats with lower resource diversity. Journal of Animal Ecology 87: 1182-1191.
2017
- Gormezano, L.J., Ellis-Felege, S.N., Iles, D.T., Barnas, A., and Rockwell, R.F. 2017. Polar bear foraging behavior during the ice-free period in western Hudson Bay: observations, origins and potential significance. American Museum Novitates 3885: 1-28.
2016
- Iles, D.T., Salguero-Gomez, R. Adler, P.B and Koons, D.N. 2016. Linking transient dynamics and life history to biological invasion success. Journal of Ecology 104: 399-408.
- Koons, D.N., Iles, D.T., Schaub, M., and Caswell, H. 2016. A life history perspective on the demographic drivers of structured population dynamics in changing environments. Ecology Letters 19: 1023-1031. Open access link
- Mulder, C.P.H., Iles, D.T., and Rockwell, R.F. 2016. Increased variance in temperature and lag effects obscure phenological responses to rapid warming in a subarctic plant community. Global Change Biology 23: 801 – 814.
- Gormezano, L.J., McWilliams, S.R., Iles, D.T., and Rockwell, R.F. 2016. Costs of locomotion in polar bears: when do the costs outweigh the benefits of chasing down terrestrial prey? Conservation Physiology 4: cow045. Open access link
- Mattingly, M., Barnas, A., Ellis-Felege, S., Newman, R., Iles, D.T., Desell, T. 2016. Developing a citizen science web portal for manual and automated ecological image detection. Proceedings of the 12th IEEE International Conference on eScience: 223-232.
2013
- Iles, D.T., Peterson, S., Gormezano, L.J., Koons, D.N. and Rockwell, R.F. 2013. Terrestrial predation by polar bears: not just a wild goose chase. Polar Biology, 36, 1373-1379.
- Iles, D.T., Rockwell, R.F., Matulonis, P., Robertson, G.J., Abraham, K.F., Davies, J.C., and Koons, D.N. 2013. Predators, alternative prey and climate influence annual breeding success of a long-lived sea duck. Journal of Animal Ecology, 82, 683-693.
Pre-prints [available for free on bioRxiv]
2019
- Iles, D.T., Pugesek, G., Kerr, N.Z., Dorian, N.N., and Crone, E.E. Accounting for imperfect detection in species with sessile life cycle stages: a case study of bumble bee colonies. https://doi.org/10.1101/518407 Open access link
Professional Contributions
2018
- Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), Global Assessment of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Service. Chapter 4. Future global change impacts on sea birds. Contributing Author.